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<Articles JournalTitle="Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology">
  <Article>
    <Journal>
      <PublisherName>Tehran University of Medical Sciences</PublisherName>
      <JournalTitle>Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology</JournalTitle>
      <Issn>2383-4196</Issn>
      <Volume>7</Volume>
      <Issue>3</Issue>
      <PubDate PubStatus="epublish">
        <Year>2021</Year>
        <Month>10</Month>
        <Day>23</Day>
      </PubDate>
    </Journal>
    <title locale="en_US">Identification of Main Patterns in The Incidence of Gynecological Cancers Amongst the  Provinces in Iran</title>
    <FirstPage>244</FirstPage>
    <LastPage>250</LastPage>
    <AuthorList>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Nafiseh</FirstName>
        <LastName>Taei</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Student Research Committee, Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences, Shahrekord, Iran.</affiliation>
      </Author>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Hadi</FirstName>
        <LastName>Shahraki</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Health, Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences, Shahrekord, Iran , Modeling in Health Research Center, Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences, Shahrekord, Iran</affiliation>
      </Author>
    </AuthorList>
    <History>
      <PubDate PubStatus="received">
        <Year>2021</Year>
        <Month>04</Month>
        <Day>17</Day>
      </PubDate>
      <PubDate PubStatus="accepted">
        <Year>2021</Year>
        <Month>06</Month>
        <Day>20</Day>
      </PubDate>
    </History>
    <abstract locale="en_US">Introduction: Study of cancer incidence trends can provide better insight for decision-making and considering&#xA0;necessary interventions. The current study was focused on investigating the main patterns in the incidence of&#xA0;gynecological cancers among the provinces of Iran during the last decades.
&#xD;

Methods: We carried out an applied longitudinal study through the growth mixture model (GMM), with a&#xA0;concentration on the trajectory of incidence rates. Information about the rate of gynecological cancer incidence (per 100,000) in 31 provinces of Iran during the 1990-2016 period was extracted from the Data Visualization&#xA0;System. Taking into account the p-value of the likelihood ratio test (LRT), the number of main patterns was&#xA0;estimated by Mplus 7.4 software.
&#xD;

Results: Tehran province with the incidence of 2.00 per 100,000 was in the first rank in 1990, while in 2016&#xA0;the highest rate was observed in Yazd province with 9.38 cases. Five main patterns were determined based&#xA0;on LRT. Tehran and Yazd provinces showed the sharpest rise, while Khuzestan, Fars, Esfahan, Semnan, East&#xA0;Azerbaijan, Razavi Khorasan, and Mazandaran provinces belonged to the pattern with a moderate-to-highrising trend. 10 provinces including Kerman, Kurdistan, Gilan, Lorestan, Alborz, Hamedan, Kermanshah,&#xA0;Markazi, Ardabil, and West Azerbaijan were on the other hand categorized in the moderate-rising trend. Sistan&#xA0;and Baluchestan and Hormozgan provinces had a slow-rising pattern, and finally, the remaining 10 provinces&#xA0;had the pattern with a slow-to-moderate upward trajectory.&#xA0;
&#xD;

Conclusion: Due to the considerable rising trend in most provinces in Iran, taking urgent and effective&#xA0;preventive actions seems necessary.</abstract>
    <web_url>https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/480</web_url>
  </Article>
</Articles>
