<?xml version="1.0"?>
<Articles JournalTitle="Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology">
  <Article>
    <Journal>
      <PublisherName>Tehran University of Medical Sciences</PublisherName>
      <JournalTitle>Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology</JournalTitle>
      <Issn>2383-4196</Issn>
      <Volume>7</Volume>
      <Issue>2</Issue>
      <PubDate PubStatus="epublish">
        <Year>2021</Year>
        <Month>07</Month>
        <Day>04</Day>
      </PubDate>
    </Journal>
    <title locale="en_US">Comparing of Data Mining Techniques for Predicting in-Hospital Mortality Among Patients  with COVID-19</title>
    <FirstPage>154</FirstPage>
    <LastPage>173</LastPage>
    <AuthorList>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Mostafa</FirstName>
        <LastName>Shanbehzadeh</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Department of Health Information Technology, School of Paramedical, Ilam University of Medical Sciences, Ilam, Iran</affiliation>
      </Author>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Azam</FirstName>
        <LastName>Orooji</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Department of Advanced Technologies, School of Medicine, North Khorasan University of Medical Science, North Khorasan, Iran.</affiliation>
      </Author>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Hadi</FirstName>
        <LastName>Kazemi-Arpanahi</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Department of Health Information Technology, Abadan University of Medical Sciences, Abadan, Iran, Student Research Committee, Abadan University of Medical Sciences, Abadan, Iran</affiliation>
      </Author>
    </AuthorList>
    <History>
      <PubDate PubStatus="received">
        <Year>2021</Year>
        <Month>05</Month>
        <Day>03</Day>
      </PubDate>
      <PubDate PubStatus="accepted">
        <Year>2021</Year>
        <Month>06</Month>
        <Day>02</Day>
      </PubDate>
    </History>
    <abstract locale="en_US">Introduction: The COVID-19 epidemic is currently fronting the worldwide health care systems with many&#xA0;qualms and unexpected challenges in medical decision-making and the effective sharing of medical&#xA0;resources. Machine Learning (ML)-based prediction models can be potentially advantageous to overcome&#xA0;these uncertainties.
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Objective: This study aims to train several ML algorithms to predict the COVID-19 in-hospital mortality&#xA0;and compare their performance to choose the best performing algorithm. Finally, the contributing factors&#xA0;scored using some feature selection methods.&#xA0;
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Material and Methods: Using a single-center registry, we studied the records of 1353 confirmed COVID19 hospitalized patients from Ayatollah Taleghani hospital, Abadan city, Iran. We applied six feature scoring&#xA0;techniques and nine well-known ML algorithms. To evaluate the models&#x2019; performances, the metrics derived&#xA0;from the confusion matrix calculated.&#xA0;
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Results: The study participants were 1353 patients, the male sex found to be higher than the women (742&#xA0;vs. 611), and the median age was 57.25 (interquartile 18-100). After feature scoring, out of 54 variables,&#xA0;absolute neutrophil/lymphocyte count and loss of taste and smell were found the top three predictors. On&#xA0;the other hand, platelet count, magnesium, and headache gained the lowest importance for predicting the&#xA0;COVID-19 mortality. Experimental results indicated that the Bayesian network algorithm with an accuracy&#xA0;of 89.31% and a sensitivity of 64.2 % has been more successful in predicting mortality.&#xA0;
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Conclusion: ML provides a reasonable level of accuracy in predicting. So, using the ML-based prediction&#xA0;models facilitate more responsive health systems and would be beneficial for timely identification of&#xA0;vulnerable patients to inform appropriate judgment by the health care providers.&#xA0;Abbreviation: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID&#x2010;19), World Health Organization (WHO), Machine&#xA0;Learning (ML), Artificial Intelligence (AI), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Support Vector Machine (SVM),&#xA0;Locally Weighted Learning (LWL), Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS)&#xA0;</abstract>
    <web_url>https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/504</web_url>
  </Article>
</Articles>
