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<Articles JournalTitle="Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology">
  <Article>
    <Journal>
      <PublisherName>Tehran University of Medical Sciences</PublisherName>
      <JournalTitle>Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology</JournalTitle>
      <Issn>2383-4196</Issn>
      <Volume>2</Volume>
      <Issue>2</Issue>
      <PubDate PubStatus="epublish">
        <Year>2016</Year>
        <Month>12</Month>
        <Day>26</Day>
      </PubDate>
    </Journal>
    <title locale="en_US">Quantitative  analysis  of  most  important  infectious  disease  trend  by  climate change in Iran: Spatial trend analysis using Mann-Kendal</title>
    <FirstPage>98</FirstPage>
    <LastPage>103</LastPage>
    <Language>EN</Language>
    <AuthorList>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Elham</FirstName>
        <LastName>Ahmadnezhad</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">National Institute of Health Research,  Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
      </Author>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Zhaleh</FirstName>
        <LastName>Abdi</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Department of Health Expenditure, National Institute of Health Research, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
      </Author>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Abolhassan</FirstName>
        <LastName>Safdari</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Department of Infectious Disease, Zahedan University of Medical Sciences, Zahedan, Iran</affiliation>
      </Author>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Farshid</FirstName>
        <LastName>Fayyaz-Jahani</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Academic Center for Education, Culture and Research Center, Urmia, Iran</affiliation>
      </Author>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Sheida</FirstName>
        <LastName>Malek-Afzali</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Department of Environment and occupational Health center, Ministry of Health, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
      </Author>
      <Author>
        <FirstName>Soraya</FirstName>
        <LastName>Fathollahi</LastName>
        <affiliation locale="en_US">Department of Health in Disasters and Emergencies, International Campus, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
      </Author>
    </AuthorList>
    <History>
      <PubDate PubStatus="received">
        <Year>2016</Year>
        <Month>12</Month>
        <Day>26</Day>
      </PubDate>
      <PubDate PubStatus="accepted">
        <Year>2016</Year>
        <Month>12</Month>
        <Day>26</Day>
      </PubDate>
    </History>
    <abstract locale="en_US">Background &amp; Aim: The aim of the study was to define the epidemiological characteristics of most important infectious diseases in Iran in recent decades. 
Methods &amp; Materials: This was a situation trend analysis of infectious diseases (vector and water borne disease, and food borne diseases) in recent decades based on data availability. Three significance levels were used for Mann-Kendall test (90%, 95% and 99%). 
Results: The morbidities of most studied diseases had decreased in whole of the country. Unlike other diseases, coetaneous leishmaniasis had not followed the deacreasing trend. In terms of location, Khorasan-e-Shomali was followed the increasing pattern for in four out of six disaeses [malaria, leishmaniasis (coetaneous and visceral), and typhoid]. 
Conclusion: In conclusion, there is a significant decreasing trend of most important infectious diseases in Iran. Nevertheless, climate change is already happening and would influence the diseases trends. Hence, developing and implementing adaptation strate ies should be considered.</abstract>
    <web_url>https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/84</web_url>
    <pdf_url>https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/download/84/50</pdf_url>
  </Article>
</Articles>
