Detection of Space-Time Clusters and Ambient Temperature Effects on Non-Toxigenic Vibrio Cholerae in Russia from 2005 To 2021
Abstract
Introduction: The identification of climate temperature-sensitive pathogens and infectious diseases is essential in addressing health risks resulting from global warming. Such research is especially crucial in regions where climate change may have a more significant impact like Russia. Recent studies have reasoned that the abundance of V. cholerae is environmentally driven. The aim of the study is to investigate the spatial-temporal trends and thermo-climatic sensitivity of non-toxigenic V. cholerae abundance in Russia.
Methods: This study employed spatial epidemiology tools to identify persistent clusters of the V. cholerae ctx- isolation and areas for exploring temperature-depended patterns of the vibrio distribution. Correlation analysis was used to identify regions with temperature-driven Vibrio abundance in water samples.
Results: The spatial analysis detected 16 persistent (7-8 year) clusters of V. cholerae ctx- across the study period 2005-2021. The persistent clusters should become targeted areas to improve sanitation conditions. A distinct significant thermo-climatic effect on the abundance of V. cholerae ctx- in water basins was found in three Russian regions with temperate marine (the Kaliningrad region) and sharp continental climatic conditions (the Irkutsk region and the Republic of Sakha).
Conclusion: The study offers valuable outcomes to support simplified empirical evaluations of the potential hazards of vibrio abundance that might be useful locally for public health authorities and globally as a part of Russia's warning system of climate change effects.
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26. Oberbeckmann S, Fuchs BM, Meiners M, Wichels A, Wiltshire, KH, Gerdts G. Seasonal dynamics and modeling of a Vibrio community in coastal waters of the North Sea, Microb. Ecol. 2012; 63, 543–551.
27. Levchenkо DA, Kruglikov VD, Gaevskaya NE, Vodop’yanov AS, Nepomnyashchaya NV. Pheno- and Genotypical Features of Non-Toxigenic Strains of Cholera Vibrios of Different Origins, Isolated in the Territory of Russia. Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections. 2020; (3):89-96. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21055/0370-1069-2020-3-89-96.
28. Abioye OE, Osunla AC, Okoh AI. Molecular detection and distribution of six medically important Vibrio spp. in selected freshwater and brackish water resources in Eastern Cape Province, South Africa. Front. Microbiol. 2021; 12, 617703.
29. Vezzulli L, Grande C, Reid PC, Hélaouët P, Edwards M, Höfle MG, Brettar I, Colwell RR, Pruzzo C. Climate influence on Vibrio and associated human diseases during the past half-century in the coastal North Atlantic, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016;113(34): E5062-71. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1609157113.
30. Zemskaya TI, Cabello-Yeves PJ, Pavlova ON, Rodriguez-Valera F. Microorganisms of Lake Baikal-the deepest and most ancient lake on Earth. Appl Microbiol Biotechnol. 2020; 104(14):6079-6090. doi: 10.1007/s00253-020-10660-6.
2. Baker-Austin C, Trinanes, JA, Taylor NGH, Hartnell R, Siitonen A, Martinez-Urtaza J. Emerging Vibrio risk at high latitudes in response to ocean warming, Nat Clim Chang. 2012; 3:73–7. 10.1038/nclimate1628.
3. Baker-Austin C. et al. Emerging Vibrio risk at high latitudes in response to ocean warming. Nat Clim Chang. 2013;3, 73–77.
4. Baker-Austin C, Oliver J.D, Alam M, Ali A, Waldor MK, Qadri F, et al. Vibrio spp. infections, Nat Rev Dis Primers. 2018; 4(1): 8 10.1038/s41572-018-0005-8.
5. Taylor M. et al. Outbreak of Vibrio parahaemolyticus Associated with Consumption of Raw Oysters in Canada, 2015. Foodborne Pathog Dis. 2018; 15(9): 554-559. doi: 10.1089/fpd.2017.2415.
6. Logar-Henderson C, Ling R, Tuite AR, Fisman DN. Effects of large-scale oceanic phenomena on non-cholera vibriosis incidence in the United States: implications for climate change, Epidemiol Infect. 2019;147:e243.
7. Reid PC, Gorick G, Edwards M. Climate Change and European Marine Ecosystem Research (Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science, Plymouth, UK), 2011.
8. Llovel W, Purkey S, Meyssignac B. et al. Global ocean freshening, ocean mass increase and global mean sea level rise over 2005–2015. Sci Rep 9 2019; 17717 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-54239-2.
9. Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring (Roshydromet), “Assessment Report on Climate Change and its Consequences in Russian Federation”. Moscow, 2008.
10. Russia: impact of climate change to 2030. A commissioned research report. National intelligence consul (NIC), 2009.
11. MUK 4.2.2870-11. The order of organization and realization of laboratory diagnostics of cholera for laboratories of local, regional and federal levels: Methodological Guidelines, Moscow (In Russ.), 2011.
12. SanPiN 3.3686-21. Sanitary rules and norms "Sanitary and epidemiological requirements for the prevention of infectious diseases" 15.02.2021 N 62500 (In Russ.), 2021.
13. Beck H, Zimmermann N, McVicar T. et al. Present and future Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps at 1-km resolution, Sci Data 2018; 5, 180214 https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2018.214.
14. RStudio Team RStudio: Integrated Development for R. RStudio, PBC, Boston, 2020. MA URL http://www.rstudio.com/.
15. Kulldorff M. SaTScanTM User Guide for version 10.1. SaTScanTM. 2022. Available at: http://www.satscan.org/.
16. Alemu K, Worku A, Berhane Y. Malaria infection has spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal heterogeneity in unstable malaria transmission areas in northwest Ethiopia, PLoS One. 2013;8(11):e79966.
17. Abbas T, Younus M, Muhammad SA. Spatial cluster analysis of human cases of Crimean Congo hemorrhagic fever reported in Pakistan. Infect Dis Poverty. 2015; 4:9.
18. Rao H, Shi X. & Zhang X. Using the Kulldorff’s scan statistical analysis to detect spatio-temporal clusters of tuberculosis in Qinghai Province, China, 2009–2016, BMC Infect Dis. 2017;17, 578. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-017-2643-y.
19. Nigussie TZ, Zewotir TT & Muluneh EK. Detection of temporal, spatial and spatiotemporal clustering of malaria incidence in northwest Ethiopia, 2012–2020. Sci Re. 2022;12, 3635 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-07713-3.
20. Huhulescu S, Indra A., Feierl G, Stoeger A, Ruppitsch W, Sarkar B. et al. Occurrence of Vibrio cholerae serogroups other than O1 and O139 in Austria. Wien Klin Wochenschr. 2007; 119(7-8):235–41. 10.1007/s00508-006-0747-2.
21. Schirmeister F, Dieckmann R, Bechlars S, Bier N, Faruque SM, Strauch E. Genetic and phenotypic analysis of Vibrio cholerae non-O1, non-O139 isolated from German and Austrian patients. Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis. 2014; 33(5):767–78. 10.1007/s10096-013-2011-9.
22. Amirmozafari N; Forohesh H; Halakoo A. Occurrence of pathogenic vibrios in coastal areas of Golestan Province in Iran, Arch. Razi Ins. 2005; 60, 33-44.
23. Farmer JJ, Hickman-Brenner FW. The Genera Vibrio and Photobacterium. In: Dworkin, M., Falkow, S., Rosenberg, E., Schleifer, KH., Stackebrandt, E. (eds) The Prokaryotes. Springer, New York, NY. 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-30746-X_18.
24. Waturangi DE, Amadeus S, Kelvianto YE. Survival of enteroaggregative Escherichia coli and Vibrio cholerae in frozen and chilled foods. J Infect Dev Ctries. 2015; 29; 9(8):837-43. doi: 10.3855/jidc.6626.
25. Daboul J, Weghorst L, DeAngelis C, Plecha SC, Saul-McBeth J, Matson JS. Characterization of Vibrio cholerae isolates from freshwater sources in northwest Ohio, PLoS ONE. 2020; 15(9): e0238438. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0238438.
26. Oberbeckmann S, Fuchs BM, Meiners M, Wichels A, Wiltshire, KH, Gerdts G. Seasonal dynamics and modeling of a Vibrio community in coastal waters of the North Sea, Microb. Ecol. 2012; 63, 543–551.
27. Levchenkо DA, Kruglikov VD, Gaevskaya NE, Vodop’yanov AS, Nepomnyashchaya NV. Pheno- and Genotypical Features of Non-Toxigenic Strains of Cholera Vibrios of Different Origins, Isolated in the Territory of Russia. Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections. 2020; (3):89-96. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21055/0370-1069-2020-3-89-96.
28. Abioye OE, Osunla AC, Okoh AI. Molecular detection and distribution of six medically important Vibrio spp. in selected freshwater and brackish water resources in Eastern Cape Province, South Africa. Front. Microbiol. 2021; 12, 617703.
29. Vezzulli L, Grande C, Reid PC, Hélaouët P, Edwards M, Höfle MG, Brettar I, Colwell RR, Pruzzo C. Climate influence on Vibrio and associated human diseases during the past half-century in the coastal North Atlantic, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016;113(34): E5062-71. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1609157113.
30. Zemskaya TI, Cabello-Yeves PJ, Pavlova ON, Rodriguez-Valera F. Microorganisms of Lake Baikal-the deepest and most ancient lake on Earth. Appl Microbiol Biotechnol. 2020; 104(14):6079-6090. doi: 10.1007/s00253-020-10660-6.
| Files | ||
| Issue | Vol 9 No 1 (2023) | |
| Section | Original Article(s) | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v9i1.13978 | |
| Keywords | ||
| V. cholerae spatial analysis climate change SatScan spatiotemporal clusters Russia | ||
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How to Cite
1.
Leonov V. Detection of Space-Time Clusters and Ambient Temperature Effects on Non-Toxigenic Vibrio Cholerae in Russia from 2005 To 2021. JBE. 2023;9(1):86-102.
